Selected Publications

The Yom Kippur War in the Eyes of the Arabs, Ma’arakhot, Tel-Aviv 1986 (Hebrew)

The Jordanian Communist Party-A Historical Analysis, Dayan Centre, Tel-Aviv 1989 (Hebrew).

“The Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan”, Data and Analysis, The Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies, June 1998.

Israel's Strategic Relations – Is there Room for New Partnerships? Institute for Policy and Strategy, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, IDC Herzliya, Academic paper presented at the Fourth Annual Herzliya Conference on The Balance of Israel's National Security, 16-18 December 2003.

The Future of the Palestinian Leadership, (in Hebrew, abstract in English) Institute for Policy and Strategy, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, IDC Herzliya, Academic paper presented at the Fourth Annual Herzliya Conference on The Balance of Israel's National Security, 16-18 December 2003.

“The Jordanian Options” – Variations of a Jordanian Role in an Israeli–Palestinian Settlement", Paper submitted to the Herzliya Conference, December 13–16, 2004.

 “The Jordanian Elite” in: Susser A. - Shmuelevitz A. (eds.), The Hashemites in the Arab World, Essays in Honour of the late Professor Uriel Dann, London - Oregon 1995

"Contemporary Modern Terrorism: Actors, Motivations and Countermeasures" (with Samuel Peleg), paper for The International Conference on global Terrorism, New York, April 6 2003.

“Regional Security – an Israeli Perspective”, Palestine–Israel Journal of Politics, Economics and Culture, vol. 11, no. 1 2004, pp. 16–21.

“The Religious Sources of Islamic Terrorism”, Policy Review, no. 125, June & July 2004

"Iranian Defense Doctrine and Decision Making Mechanism", The Institute for Policy and Strategy, IDC Herzliya, October 2004

"Iran: Cultural Values, Self images and Negotiation Behavior", The Institute for Policy and Strategy, IDC Herzliya, October 2004

"Israeli-Palestinian Peace Plans" (editor), The Institute for Policy and Strategy, IDC Herzliya, December 2004.

"Sunnis and Shiites: Between Rapprochement and Conflict", Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, Hudson Institute, Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World, Vol 2, September 2005, pp. 87-96.

Warrant for Terror: Contemporary Fatwas and the Duty of Jihad, Lanham: Hoover Institution and Rowman & Littlefield, 2006.

“The Zawahiri Letter and the Strategy of al-Qa’ida", Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, Hudson Institute, Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World, Vol 3, January 2006.

“Palestine or Peace? A 1960 Jordanian Peace Initiative” Middle East Quarterly, June 2006.

"Bashar's Syria: The Regime and its Strategic Worldview" Comparative Strategy, 2006 (Vol.25, No.5) pp. 353-445

"The Conflict between Radical Islam and the West – Origins, Prognosis and Prescriptions", The Institute for Policy and Strategy, January 2007.

"Jihad Ideology in the Light of Contemporary Fatwas", Hudson Institute, Center on Islam, Monograph Series no 1, paper no. 1, August 2006.

Establishment Ulama and  Radicalism in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, with Shmuel Bachar, Rachel Machtiger and Yair Minzili, Hudson Institute, Center on Islam, Monograph Series no 1, paper no. 4, December 2006.

Deterring Non State Terrorist Groups: The Case of Hizballah, Comparative Strategy, Vol. 26, No. 4, December 2008. 

Forthcoming Publications

Israeli Experience in Deterring Terrorism Deterring Non-State Terrorism – the Palestinian Fatah and Hamas.

Iranian Nuclear Decision Making under Ahmadinejad.

Islamist Strategic Thought for the Conflict with the West.

"The Iron Wall" - Israeli Experience in Deterring Terrorism.

"Knowing Good and Evil" – Moral Narratives in Islam and the Theology of Terrorism (book)

Heading of Research Projects

Iran: Leadership, National Worldview, and Defense Doctrine – Implications for Deterrence and Compellence, project for the National Institute for Public Policy, Washington DC, May 2003

Iranian Mindset and Mentality project for the National Institute for Public Policy, Washington DC, August 2003

The Future of the Palestinian Leadership project for the 2003 Herzliya Conference, December 2003.

Alternative Solutions for the Israeli–Arab Conflict project for the 2004 Herzliya Conference, December 2004.

The Sources of Conflict between Islam and the West project for the US DOD/OSD – Office of Net Assessment with the Institute for Policy and Strategy, Herzliya and the Hudson Institute, Washington DC, April 2005– April 2006.

Syrian Defense Doctrine and Decision–Making project for the National Institute for Public Policy, Washington DC, 2006.

Strategies of Islamist Organizations for the Conflict with the West – Project for the US DOD/OSD/ Office of Net Assessment, Washington DC, 2006.

Iranian Nuclear Decision Making under Ahmadinejad – Project for the National Institute for Public Policy, Washington DC, 2006.

Iranian Policy of Export of Revolution and the Iran-Syria–Lebanon Nexus – Project for the US National Intelligence Council.

Signaling Iran – Project for the Center for Naval Analysis, Alexandria, Va, 2006.

Deterring Non-State Terrorist Actors –Palestinian Fatah and Hamas and Lebanese Hizballah – the Israeli Experience – Project for the National Institute for Policy Planning, Washington DC., 2006

Lebanese Hizballah – Project for the Center for Naval Analysis, Alexandria, Va., 2006

Current Projects

Paradigms of Islamic Leadership

Ideology and Military Doctrine of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard as reflected in Hizballah

The Sunni-Shiite Rift – Roots and Strategic Implications

The Muslim Brotherhood Movement (pending final decision)

Selected Public Addresses and Lectures at Conferences

Speaker at the 8^th Annual Herzliya Conference, January 2008, "Deterrence in a Poly-Nuclear Middle East".

Speaker at Royal College of Defence Studies (RCDS), London,  25 February 2008 "The Iranian Challenge".

Chair of Session at the Jerusalem Summit, 27-30 November 2004, Jerusalem.

Speaker at the 4^th Annual Herzliya Conference, December 2003, “The Palestinian Leadership in the Post-Arafat Era”.

Speaker at the 5^th Annual Herzliya Conference, December 2004, “Jordanian Option”.

Speaker at the 6^th Annual Herzliya Conference, January 2006, “Trends in Islamist Ideology and Leadership”.

Keynote Speaker on “Radical Islam and the West: the Islamist Strategy” and “Iranian Negotiation Behavior” at “Middle and Near East Policy & Defence Relations Seminar" UK MOD, Muscat, Oman (17-18 October, 2005).

Keynote Speaker on “Islamist Leadership Paradigms and Strategies” at “Trans-Atlantic Dialogue on Terrorism”, Seminar organized by CSIS (Washington DC) and TNO/Clingendael (The Hague, NL) sponsored by the National Intelligence Council (US), 8-9 December 2005.

Speaker at Hoover Institution Spring Retreat, Stanford University, Alto Palo, California, May 2006.

Speaker on “Iran under Ahmadinejad” at Amman ’06 – Conflict – the Driver for Radicalization? – 3rd Annual Middle & Near East Policy & Defence Relations Seminar, UK MOD, Amman (30 October–2 November 2006).

Speaker at the Heritage Foundation, Washington DC, “Origins and Strategies of Radical Islam”, 17 August 2006.

Speaker at the 7^th Annual Herzliya Conference, January 2007, “Decision Making in Iran”.

Speaker at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, London, 26 February 2007 “Iranian Grand Strategy and Decision Making”.

Speaker at Hudson Institute, Washington DC, 9 May 2007, “Islamic Jurisprudence and Legitimization of Terrorism”.

Speaker at the Hoover Institution Autumn Retreat, 29 October 2007 “The Strategy of the Jihadi Movement – Ideology and Pragmatics”.