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The Third Herzliya Conference Program and Proceedings
2/12/2002

Program 

 

Monday, December 2, 2002 

 

 

17:00 First Session: The Balance of Israel’s National Security – Assessment and Comparative Measures 

 

Chair: Maj. Gen. (res.) Yitzhak Hoffi 

 

Introduction to the Conference 

Dr. Uzi Arad, Conference Chair and Director, Institute of Policy and Strategy, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya

 

“The Balance of National Security” 

Mr. Ephraim Halevy, Head of the National Security Council 

 

“The Composite Herzliya Indices: Objective Dimension”, Task Force Report 

Dr. Rafi Melnick, The Arison School of Business, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya  

  

"The Composite Herzliya Indices: the Military Dimension", Task Force Report 

Col. (res.) Dr. Shmuel Gordon  

 

“The Composite Herzliya Indices: Subjective Dimension” Task Force Report 

Prof. Gabriel Ben-Dor, Chair, National Security Studies Center, Haifa University

 

Discussion  

Opened by: Prof. Gabriel Sheffer, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem and the Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya 

 

 

19:15 Opening Ceremony 

 

Chair: Mr. Avraham Bigger, Deputy Chair, The Caesarea Edmond Benjamin de Rothschild Foundation 

   

Greetings:  

·         Prof. Uriel Reichman, President, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya   

·        Ms. Yael German, Mayor of Herzliya 

Lighting of the of Hanukkah candles  

Rabbi Israel Meir Lau, The Chief Rabbi of Israel 

 

Dinner 

 

Chair: Ambassador Ronald S. Lauder 

 

“America’s Sense of Purpose”  

Mr. William Kristol, Editor, The Weekly Standard 

 

“From Geopolitics to Global Politics” 

Mr. James B. Steinberg, Vice President, Brookings Institution 

 

 

 


Tuesday, December 3, 2002 

 

08:30 Second Session: The Gulf Theater - Threats, Readiness and Responses 

 

Chair: Maj. Gen. (res.) Eitan Ben-Eliahu 

 

“Biological Threat” 

Ms. Judith Miller, Senior Correspondent, The New York Times 

 

“Conflicts in the Second and Third Circles” 

Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin, IDF Colleges’ Commandant 

“Long Range Naval Power” 

Maj. Gen. Yedidya Ya’ari, Commander of the Navy 

“Dilemmas in the Use of Force in the New Strategic Environment”  

Dr. Ariel Levite, IAEC (Stanford University) 

 

Discussion 

Opened by: Ms. Thיrטse Delpech, Head of Direction of Strategic Affairs, French Atomic Energy Commission (CEA)  

 

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Lt. Gen. Moshe Ya’alon, The IDF Chief of General Staff  

 

 

11:30  Third Session: The Homefront – Threats and Readiness 

 

Chair: Maj. Gen. (res.) Amos Yaron, Director General, Ministry of Defense 

 

“Threats Assessments and the Homefront” 

General (ret.) Charles G. Boyd, President & CEO, Business Executives for National Security (BENS) 

 

”The Homefront  – Threats and Preparations”, Task Force Report  

Maj. Gen. (res.) Herzl Shafir 

Maj. Gen. (res.) Shmuel Arad 

 

Discussion  

Opened by: Col. Dr. James A. Davis, Deputy Director, US Air Force Counter-proliferation Center    

 

Lunch 

 

Chair: Ms. Shula Bahat, Associate Executive Director, The American Jewish Committee  

 

Lt. Gen. (res.) Shaul Mofaz, Minister of Defense  

 

 

14:45         Fourth Session: A View of the Future – Regional Trends and Processes                                       

 

Chair: Dr. Yael Benjamini, Chief of Staff Administration, Bank Leumi  

 

 

“Regional Demographic Trends and their Implications” 

 Dr. Itzhak Ravid, Center for Military Research, Rafael 

 

“Future Trends in the Vicinity of Israel”  

Prof. Arnon Sofer, National Security Studies Center, Haifa University 

 

“Exporting Democracy to the Middle East” 

Prof. Joshua Muravchik, American Enterprise Institute 

 

“Democracy as a Foundation to Peace” 

MK Nathan Sharansky, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Housing and Construction 

  

“Trends in Fundamentalist Islam”  

Dr. Daniel Pipes, Director, The Middle East Forum  

 

Discussion  

Opened by: Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman, Director of Israel and Middle East Office, The American Jewish Committee 

 

 

16:45  Fifth Session: Options for the Middle East Negotiating Process  

 

Chair: Ambassador Yoav Biran, Acting General Director, Ministry of Foreign Affairs 

 

“Israel’s Policy: Alternatives and Decision” 

Maj. Gen. (res.) Uzi Dayan, Head, The Forum for National Responsibility 

 

“Alternative Courses for American Diplomacy in the Middle East Negotiations’ Process” 

Ambassador Dr. Dennis B. Ross, Director, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy


 

“International Participation in Conflict Management”, Task Force Report  

Ms. Orit Gal, Project Manager, Economic Cooperation Foundation 

 

 “Trusteeship for the Palestinians”  

Ambassador Dr. Martin S. Indyk, Director, The Saban Center for Middle EastStudies, Brookings Institution 

 

“A Southern Palestinian State”  

Brig. Gen. (res.) Ephraim Eitam, Minister of National Infrastructures 

“Palestinian Statehood and Bounded Independence” 

Ambassador Peter R. Rosenblatt, Heller & Rosenblatt; Board of Governors, The American Jewish Committee  

 

“A Regional Solution for the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict” 

Mr. Israel Harel, Head of the Center for Religious Zionism, Hartman Institute 

 

 

Discussion  

Opened by: MK Yossi Sarid, Chair, Meretz  

Mr. Dan Scheuftan, National Security Studies Center, Haifa University and the Shalem Center 

 

 

19:00  Sixth Session: The Role of Regional Cooperation in Promoting Stability and Political Arrangements 

 

Chair: Mr. Israel Michaeli, Deputy Head, National Security Council 

 

“Leveraging Mediterranean Regional Cooperation for Development and Change” 

Mr. Stef Wertheimer, Chairman of the Board, ISCAR Ltd. 

 

“Turkish-Israeli Relations and Regional Peace” 

Mr. Hikmet ַetin, Former Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, Turkey 

 

“Economic and Social Aspects of Regional Cooperation”  

Prof. Avishay Braverman, President, Ben-Gurion University 

 

Discussion 

Opened by: Mr. Mati Kochavi, Chairman, Optical Solutions, Inc. 

 

20: 30    Dinner 

 

Chair: Maj. Gen. (res.) Meir Amit, Chair, Center of Special Studies 

 

Greetings: Mr. Howard P. Berkowitz, HPB Associates 

“Roadmap and Roadblocks: A Practical Approach to Peacemaking” 

Ambassador Dr. Daniel C. Kurtzer, US Ambassador to Israel  

 

 

 

 

Wednesday, December 4, 2002  

 

8:30  Seventh Session: A New Straetgy of Governance In memoriam of Prof. Ehud Sprinzak 

 

Chair:  Prof. Uriel Reichman, President, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya

 

“A Government Reform” 

Prof. Yehezkel Dror, The Hebrew University of Jerusalemand Founding President of the Jewish People Policy Planning Institute 

 

“Fiscal Consolidation” 

Dr. Rafi Melnick, The Arison School of Business, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya

“Reforming the Public Service”
 

Col. (res.) Mordechai Shapira, CEO, Israel Federation of Independent Organizations 

 

Discussion 

Opened by: MK Haim Ramon, Chair, Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee  

 

10:15  Eighth Session: The Future of the Economy in the Face of Demographic Trends 

 

Chair: Mr. Dan Halperin, CEO, Iftik 

 

The Implications of the Demographic Trends for Israel’s Economy”, Task Force Report 

Mr. Yossi Hollander, Chairman of the Board, JACADA  

Dr. Yaacov Sheinin, CEO, Economic Models 

 

 “Equilibrium and Disequilibrium in the Israeli Economy”  

Dr. Momi Dahan, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem 

 

Discussion 

Opened by: Mr. Gidi Grinstein 

 

12:00  Ninth Session: Competitiveness, Growth and the Future of the Economy  

 

Chair: Dr. Leora Meridor, Chair of the Boards of Bezeq International and Poalim Financial Markets and Investments 

 

“High-Tech Industry as the Chief Driver of Israeli Economic Growth”, Task Force Report 

Mr. Eli Ayalon, Chairman of the Board & CEO, DSP Group, Inc. 

 

“A National Policy for Economic Growth” 

Mr. Aharon Fogel, Chairman of the Baord, Ness Technologies 

  

“Economic Competitiveness in the face of Security Challenges”  

Dr. Daniel S. Goldin, Senior Fellow, Council on Competitiveness and Former NASA Administrator  

Discussion  

Opened by: MK Yosef Lapid, Chair, Shinui Party 

 

Lunch 

 

Chair: Mr. Eitan Raff, Chairman, Board of Directors, Bank Leumi  

 

Mr. Benjamin Netanyahu, Minister of Foreign Affairs 

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Maj. Gen. (res.) Amram Mitzna, Chairman of the Labor Party 

 

 

15:00 Tenth Session: Israel’s Credit Ratings and Economic Resilience 

 

Chair: Mr. Eitan Raff, Chairman, Board of Directors, Bank Leumi 

 

“The Relationship between the International Rating and the Banks’ Rating” 

Mr. Eitan Raff, Chairman, Board of Directors, Bank Leumi 

 

“Determining National Rating and its Impact on Economic Policy: The Latin American Experience” 

Dr. Graciana del Castillo, CEO, Macroeconomics Consulting Group (MAG) 

 

”The Distinction between Domestic Debt and External Debt: The Rating Firms’ View” 

Dr. David Klein, Governor, The Bank of Israel 

 

”A Comparative Assessment of Sources of Weakness and Strength in Israel’s International Rating” 

Mr. Eldad Fersher, Deputy General Accountant, Ministry of Finance 

 

Discussion  

Opened by: Prof. Amir Barnea, The Arison School of Business,  Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya
 

16:45 Eleventh Session: The New International Frontlines 

 

Chair:  Mr. Shabtai Shavit, Merhav Group 

 

“Israel in the New International Media Environment”, Task Force Report 

Brig. Gen. (res.) David Tzur 

Brig. Gen. Ruth Yaron, IDF Spokeswoman 

 

“The International Legal Revolution: Implications for Israel” 

Prof. Irwin Cotler, O.C., M.P. 

 

“The Jewish World Approach to Anti-Semitism from the Arab World” 

Prof. Yehuda Bauer, Academic Adviser, “Yad Vashem”  

 

“The Policy of Israel and of the Jewish People in the New International Environment” 

Ambassador Dr. Dennis B. Ross, Director, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy and Chair, Jewish People Policy Planning Institute  

Prof. Yehezkel Dror, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Founding President of the Institute 

Mr. Avinoam Bar-Yosef, Director of the Institute 

 

Discussion 

Opened by: Ambassador Alan Baker, Legal Advisor, Ministry of Foreign Affairs  

Mr. Nimrod Barkan, Head of the Diaspora Branch, Ministry of Foreign Affairs 

 

 

19:00 Twelfth Session: Trends in the Jewish World and their Consequences 

 

Chair: Maj. Gen. (res.) Giora Rom, General Director, The Jewish Agency for Israel

 

”Demographic Shifts in the Jewish World – Forecasts and Implications”, Task Force Report, 

Prof. Sergio DellaPergola, Harman Institute of Contemporary Judaism, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem  

Ms. Carole Solomon, The Board of Governors’ Executive Committee, The Jewish Agency for Israel

Discussion
 

Opened by: Maj. Gen. (res.) Giora Rom, General Director, The Jewish Agency for Israel 

Mr. Felix Posen, The Posen Foundation 

 

20:30 The Closing Session 

 

Chair: Ambassador Zalman Shoval, Chair, Governing Council, The Institute of Policy and Strategy, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya 

 

Prof. Uriel Reichman, President, The Interdisciplinary Center, Herzliya 

 

Mr. Sallai Meridor, Chairman of the Executive of The Jewish Agency for Israeland the World Zionist Organization 

 

The Prime Minister of Israel, MK Ariel Sharon 

Dinner 

 

Closing Remarks, 

Dr. Uzi Arad, Conference Chair and Director, Institute of Policy and Strategy, The Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya 

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